There are moments that it certainly looks that way - at least when observing what the Republican Party of Florida and the re-election campaign of Gov. Rick Scott are saying and doing lately.
While some polls have the race essentially tied with two months to go, the signals from the Scott campaign and their "out of state mercenaries" is that they have turned the tide and they are proceeding down the checklist of things they have to come up with to win the race over Democratic rival Charlie Crist.
The two-week bus tour launched last week was a great example of that.
The bus tour, where Scott is touting a $1 billion tax cut package over the next years, appears aimed squarely at trying to rally the Republican base of voters. Scott's new talking points for the events include linking Crist to President Barack Obama time and time and time again.
Crist and Obama are alike says Scott because they think "money grows on trees."
Now normally one would assume the need to nail down the base in the early going of a re-election campaign.
But the Scott campaign has spent the last few months spending tens of millions grinding down Crist in a series of negative ads. If the belief is that the negative ads have made Crist increasingly unacceptable to independent voters, then the idea of turning back to the base makes sense.
The recent poll done by the University of Florida in concert with a handful of media organizations would seem to bear that out. It maintained that among those Floridians surveyed that just 37 percent now trust Crist.
It's already been well documented that the Democratic turnout was not very impressive during the Aug. 26th primary. During a session held at the Florida Association of Professional Lobbyists conference last week, the executive director of the Florida Democratic Party acknowledged that the low turnout numbers in Broward were especially worrisome.
So if independents stay home, Democrats remain lukewarm, then the path to victory is with the Republican base of voters.
Of course the Scott campaign has been calling and trying to motivate voters for some time now. But the bus tour gave them an opportunity to reinforce that with visits to GOP strongholds such as southwest Florida. While some in the base may have their problems with Scott because of Common Core and All Aboard Florida, they are trying to calm those fears.
There are other things that also bolster the idea of a growing confidence in Scott world.
Their press strategy, for one, has been on a need to know basis.
As in, the Scott campaign will cooperate with the press on things that enhance its narrative. Want a key example? After putting out press release after press release about their ads, they have been less forthcoming about other ads.
One hard-hitting ad entitled "Swindled" start running right after the primary ended and features a person who says he was swindled by Scott Rothstein, the Ponzi schemer and one time associate of Crist. Christopher Heath with WFTV asked questions about the ad but got no answers.
The Scott campaign in 2010 avoided editorial boards completely. This time around they have employed a selective strategy. While they have spent time at places like Florida Today and the Tampa Tribune, they have not scheduled any time with some of the major papers who might be viewed as more adversarial i.e. The Tampa Bay Times. In other words, it would appear they plan to make visits to the places where they view an endorsement as a possibility.
Another key element that could help build confidence: While the Crist-Scott race initially drew a lot of national attention it doesn't appear that the race has become as nationalized - and the scores of earned media that would accompany it - as one thought it could become.
So far, it appears that many parts of the national media are spending time watching the handful of U.S. Senate races that could tip the balance to the GOP.
Juston Johnson, the executive director of the Republican Party of Florida, who also appeared at the FAPL event made it clear that the Scott campaign is looking at the finish line confidently. (Johnson repeated the 'out of state mercenaries' line that has become a motivational spark for the Scott team.)
Johnson told the group that it was "remarkable" that Scott has gone from trailing Crist to matching, or in the case of the UF poll, leading him. But beyond that, Johnson said he doubted that any debates between Scott and Crist would change the outcome of the election pointing out some would occur after people had already begun. Nor did he expect "some scandalous story come out that will drastically change this race."
Johnson talked about how the party and campaign had spent a year putting together its field operations and digital efforts and now it was a matter of just getting them to "do their thing."
It's easy to understand Johnson's point of view that voters in Florida know an awful lot already about both Scott and Crist and there may not much more than change the narrative of the race.
For their part Crist's team is also putting in place their strategy.
The Democrats and Crist held back on spending a lot of money in advance of the primary. A peek inside the Crist headquarters in St. Petersburg shows an organization that is setting up its own field operations, relying on some of the same strategies and analytics that aided Obama's successful runs in Florida the last two presidential cycles.
Scott Arceneaux, the executive director of the Democrats who like other Democratic operatives is spending quite a bit of time in central Florida with the Crist team, bluntly predicted that the race between Crist and Scott would be only one or two points and that the race wouldn't be decided until Wednesday.
The Scott campaign early on decided that Crist was the one opponent that they wanted in this election. They have been up on television all summer. They are clearly sticking to their game plan so far. They have had some gaffes and bumps so far but the large cash advantage has apparently enabled them to withstand those blows.
The last big onslaught from Crist and company is coming. The question is whether it will be too little too late, or whether it will derail the Scott machine's march onward.